The Phantom Odds: Deconstructing Prediction Market Probabilities in a Macro Context
The ledger does not lie, only the noise obscures. On Predict.fun, a...
Gaming
•
CryptoSignal
•
2026-07-05
#oracle risk
oracle risk related articles
Spotify's Logo Removal Exposes the Oracle Fault Line in Prediction Markets
Spotify demanded Kalshi and Polymarket remove its logo. The trigger: a...
Gaming
•
0xKai
•
2026-07-04
Market Prices
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Event Calendar
202608
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
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All →Altseason Index
44
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
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28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$64,878.6
1
Ethereum
ETH
$1,921.94
1
Solana
SOL
$77.62
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$581.2
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.12
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0741
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1652
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$6.69
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.8475
1
Chainlink
LINK
$8.55
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